← Field Notes
SEP 9 · Clipped · via X · @EvanHub Emergency Stop

Evan Hubinger backs Coxon and puts the odds above ten percent

A ten percent figure from the person whose job is to break the models. I do not need to share the number to act on the gap he describes.

Read the source ↗ attached to Emergency Stop →
watching

watching → emerging → established

A candidate behavior, not yet a published pattern. Early signal — worth tracking, not yet worth standardizing on.

11 documented sightings since Jul 2026 — every one traces to a dated source.

See the evidence →

Machine summary of the source

Evan Hubinger (@EvanHub) on X: "Jacob is correct here. We do believe AI could kill all humans. I think it is over 10% within the decade." Hubinger leads alignment stress-testing at Anthropic. His post is the source of the ten percent figure in the headlines, reported at tens of millions of views.

The summary above is generated; the note at the top is the editorial judgment. Primary source ↗